Texas Governor Greg Abbott

credit: Gabe Hernandez/Caller-Times via USA TODAY NETWORK

Election Polls Look Good For Texas Republicans, Especially Gov. Abbott.

August 02, 2018 - 6:58 am

AUSTIN (1080 KRLD) - Texas Governor Abbott is sitting on a 16-point lead over Democrat Lupe Valdez, Lt Governor Dan Patrick is up by 9 percent over challenger Mike Collier and Attorney General Ken Paxton has a ten point lead on Justin Nelson. These are some of the results of day two of the Lyceum Poll roll-out. 

Pollster Joshua Blank says there’s still some work to do if the Texas GOP hopes to keep up the 24 year sweep on election-day. “In the 2018 elections were seeing most of the Republican candidates with very comfortable leads over their Democratic challengers…save the race for Senate; where we only see a 2-point lead for Ted Cruz over Beto O’Rourke.”

Blank admits the close Cruz/O’Rourke poll may be an aberration. “In general I think polls tend to over-estimate Democratic support or under-estimate Republican support this early in the cycle.”

Governor Abbott is clearly the strongest Republican in Texas. He has an overall approval rating of 54 percent with 80 percent of that coming from Republicans. Rice University Political Scientist Mark Jones believes his strong numbers will help others. “Greg Abbott is a juggernaut in Texas in that his numbers are strong, much stronger than President Trump. And I think for many Republicans who are in competitive races, their saving grace this fall may be Greg Abbott’s popularity and the strength of his campaign.”

President Trump does find himself behind Governor Abbott when it comes to statewide approval. Among Texas adults President Trump has a 44 percent approval rating, but the numbers aren’t all bad according to Blank. “Donald Trump is slightly under water with 52 percent saying he’s doing a poor job…among Democratic identifiers 85 percent say he’s doing a poor job, among Republicans 85 percent say he’s doing a good or great job.”

Whether the nation is going in the right direction the Lyceum poll found most Texans saying the country is on the wrong track (53 percent), compared to only 34 percent of Texans who say that things are moving in the right direction.

On the economic front the poll showed 43 percent of Texans believe that the national economy is better off compared to a year ago, with 24 percent saying that it is worse off, and 34 percent saying that it is about the same.