Texas Is Up For Grabs In November According To Latest Quinnipiac Poll

Chris Fox
June 03, 2020 - 3:47 pm
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AUSTIN (KRLD) - President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden are locked in a very tight race in Texas, with Trump receiving 44 percent of the vote and Biden receiving 43 percent in a general election matchup, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University poll released today. Democrats go for Biden 90 – 5 percent, independents do the same 45 – 36 percent and Republicans go for Trump 87 – 6 percent.

Voters say 54 – 40 percent that Trump would do a better job handling the economy, but say 49 – 43 percent that Biden would do a better job handling health care. Voters are split on who would do a better job handling the response to the coronavirus, as 47 percent say Biden and 45 percent say Trump.

“Too tight to tell in Texas. As the country confronts chaos and COVID-19, perhaps one of the most important states of all is a toss-up,” said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.

 FAVORABILITY AND JOB APPROVAL RATINGS

In terms of how voters view the candidates, they give both Trump and Biden negative favorability ratings. 38 percent of voters view Biden favorably, while 45 percent view him unfavorably. That compares to a February 2019 survey when 48 percent viewed him favorably and 38 percent viewed him unfavorably. 42 percent of voters view Trump favorably, and 50 percent view him unfavorably. That compares to a February 2019 survey when 47 percent viewed him favorably and 49 percent viewed him unfavorably.

 President Trump receives a 45 – 50 percent job approval rating, unchanged from September of 2019.

Governor Greg Abbott receives a 56 – 32 percent job approval rating, compared to 56 – 27 percent in September of 2019.

Senator Ted Cruz receives a 45 – 42 percent job approval rating, compared to 49 – 40 percent in September of 2019.

 

Senator John Cornyn receives a split 37 – 36 percent job approval rating, compared to 41 – 34 percent in September of 2019.

MAIL-IN VOTING

About six in ten voters (59%) in Texas say voters in the state should be allowed to vote by mail due to the coronavirus pandemic, while four in ten (40%) say they should not. There are wide partisan gaps, as Democrats 91 – 9 percent and independents 61 – 39 percent say “yes” to voting by mail, while Republicans 68 – 31 percent say “no” to voting by mail.

 “'Mail it in,’ say a majority of virus wary Texans, with Democrats far more willing to let the Post Office deliver their vote,” added Malloy. Looking ahead to the presidential election in November, 60 percent say they would feel comfortable voting in person, while 38 percent say they would feel uncomfortable. Republicans 84 – 14 percent and independents 60 – 38 percent say they would feel comfortable. Democrats 67 – 31 percent say they would feel uncomfortable.

CORONAVIRUS RESPONSE & BUSINESSES REOPENING

On handling the response to the coronavirus:

• 47 percent of voters approve of President Trump’s handling, while 51 percent disapprove;

• 56 percent of voters approve of Governor Abbott’s handling, while 36 percent disapprove.

Voters were asked about the speed at which Governor Abbott is lifting restrictions on businesses that were put in place because of the coronavirus outbreak. 49 percent say he’s handling it “about right,” 38 percent say “too fast,” and 12 percent say “not quickly enough.”

CORONAVIRUS CONCERNS

More than one-third of Texas voters (35 percent) say they personally know someone who has been diagnosed with the coronavirus. Of the groups reported, the number is highest among black voters at 47 percent. 

Over half of voters (51 percent) say they are either very or somewhat worried about becoming infected and seriously ill from the coronavirus. However, there are big gaps when it comes to the level of worry. 39 percent of Democrats are “very” worried, compared to 9 percent of Republicans and 16 percent of independents.

31 percent of black voters and 28 percent of Hispanic voters are “very” worried, compared to 13 percent of white voters.

WEARING MASKS

Just under two-thirds of voters (65 percent) say people should be required to wear face masks inside businesses in Texas, while a smaller number (58 percent) say people in Texas should be required to wear face masks in public. At this time, roughly three-quarters of voters in Texas (76 percent) say they wear a mask when they are out in public. 

CORONAVIRUS EXPECTATIONS & BACK TO SCHOOL

Nearly 7 in 10 voters (69 percent) say that it is either “very” or “somewhat” likely that there will be another wave of coronavirus infections that will cause businesses in Texas to close again. 

Voters say it will be safe to send students to college in the fall 49 – 43 percent, though when it comes to younger students in elementary, middle, and high schools, 45 percent say it will be safe and 48 percent say it will be unsafe.

“It’s a number that hits home. Nearly half of Texans are thinking twice about putting their kids on the school bus,” added Malloy. 

1,166 self-identified registered voters in Texas were surveyed from May 28 – June 1 with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues