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Scattered Showers And Drizzle Today; Keeping An Eye On The Gulf

Dan Brounoff
September 12, 2018 - 6:54 am
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*High Yest: 79, Precip: 0.04” ;YTD Precip: 24.81”; Deficit: 0.34”*

Normal High: 90; Normal Low: 69

Today: Mostly cloudy, mild and humid. Good chance of showers and drizzle. High: Near 80. Wind: ESE 5 mph.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy and mild. A few showers with areas of drizzle. Low: Near 70. SE 5-10 mph.

Tomorrow: Mostly to partly cloudy. We may see the sun! High: Mid to upper 80s. Wind: SE 5-10 mph.

Friday: Morning clouds and drizzle, peeks of sun with increasing rain chances towards evening. High: Mid to upper 80s.

Saturday: Cloudy with waves of heavy rain. Possible “Flood Watch.” High: Upper 70s.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and storms. High: Mid 80s.

Mon. & Tues.: Partly cloudy and humid. Isolated afternoon and evening storms. High: Low 90s. 

Credit: NOAA.gov

Wind speed down to 130 mph, but some strengthening is forecast over the next 36 hours.

One thing to notice is that the track has changed. Hurricane Center now has Florence hugging the North Carolina / South Carolina border from Friday morning until Saturday afternoon, then slowly moving into the upstate of South Carolina by early next week.

This track is subject to change and may be shifted even farther south.

This will be catastrophic for a much larger area of the coastline..  with battering wind, waves, and storm surge for an extended period of time. Coastal flooding, beach erosion, and catastrophic structural damage will occur during this time period.

After Saturday, inland flooding will increase. Some areas could see over 4 feet (48") of rain. This may become the costliest storm in U.S. history. Terrible! Stay tuned or more updates through the day.

Keeping an eye on a disturbance entering The Gulf of Mexico:

Disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico not looking too impressive right now, but new clouds are bubblin' again. Its moisture will approach the Texas coast in the next 48 hours.

Sill a 50/50 shot of it becoming Joyce. By late Friday into Saturday, heavy rain is possible in north Texas, but is dependent on its track... once it moves ashore late Friday.

9-12-18 Gulf
Credit: NOAA.gov